Food 100: Leading food groups under pressure
Although many of the world’s leading food groups have reported a growth in sales within the last financial year, the global industry is coming under increasing pressure. Much of this is due to soaring food prices, especially for staple items such as wheat, corn, rice, coffee, cocoa and milk, the price of which, for example has doubled in the last year. As well as having an adverse affect on the profit margins of the world’s leading food suppliers, the UN has warned that the rising cost of food may trigger a food crisis in some of the world’s poorer countries. At the time of writing, this is already becoming apparent in Tajikistan and Haiti.
Other reasons behind rising food prices include the recent shift in agricultural production towards biofuels, as well as environmental factors. The recent drought in Australia and parts of China have resulted in the lowest global wheat stocks for around 30 years, whilst the global shortage has led to many of the leading producer countries to place curbs on
their wheat exports. Drought and increasing desertification has also resulted in shortages of other commodities (the dairy sector representing one example), whilst elsewhere in the world, flooding has also affected the global food supply.
Nestlé pulls further away In spite of pressures in the supply chain, the largest food producers have consolidated their position in Leatherhead Food International’s top 100 ranking. The list is headed once more by the Swiss multinational Nestlé, which saw its food sales increase by almost 18 per cent in the year ending December 2007. This equates to revenue worth around US$83.6 billion, and can mainly be attributed to the company’s efforts to strengthen its position in the growing market for healthy foods. This was evidenced by its US$600 million acquisition of the Jenny Craig business in 2006, which has since become part of Nestlé’s Nutrition, Health & Wellness unit. More recent acquisition activity suggests that Nestlé is likely to pull away from its leading competitors at the head of the ranking still further. During 2007, the company acquired Gerber Foods for US$5.5 billion (a move which will dramatically expand its presence in the baby foods market), whilst its purchase of Novartis Medical Nutrition later in the year gave it leadership of the global medical foods category.
Healthy choice In second position is PepsiCo. During the financial year 2007, its food sales increased by more than 12 per cent to over US$39.4 billion. Again, much of this was the result of acquisition activity – within the last year, PepsiCo claims to have spent around US$1.3 billion on acquisitions. Many of these were in growth market sectors, the best example of which is probably juice drinks. Towards the end of 2006, the company acquired The Naked Juice Company (a US-based supplier of super-premium juices), whilst in 2007 it acquired an 80 per cent stake in Sandora, leader of the growing Ukrainian market. Both Nestlé and PepsiCo have maintained their leading positions in recent years as a result of their strategy of expanding in high-growth sectors. In both instances, this has largely been in the area of healthy/better-for-you products – in the case of PepsiCo, this has also resulted in the development of newer lines such as ricebased snacks, oat-based cereals and vitaminenhanced water drinks. PepsiCo has also been addressing consumer health concerns by introducing ‘Smart Spot’ labels for many of its leading products. These inform consumers how the products can contribute towards developing a healthier lifestyle.
Focus on core strengths Some of the other leading suppliers within the global top 10 include Kraft Foods, The Coca-Cola Company and Unilever, whilst companies in the commodities sector (such as Cargill and Archer Daniels Midland) rank a little lower. Like their competitors, Kraft, Coca-Cola and Unilever have all been pursuing strategies generally aimed at consolidating or increasing their presence in core or high-growth sectors, whilst health remains a major driving factor in new product development. Like PepsiCo, Coca-Cola has also been expanding into new areas, with 2007 having witnessed the acquisition of firstly FUZE Beverage (a supplier of enhanced fruit juice drinks and teas), followed by Glaceau, owner of the Vitaminwater brand. Coca-Cola spent around US$4 billion acquiring Glaceau, which is to continue operating as a standalone company.
| Swiss multinational Nestlé again tops the list. Food sales increased by almost 18 per cent in 2007 largely due to the company’s efforts to strengthen its position in the growing market for healthy foods. |
Meanwhile, Kraft appears set to strengthen its position as leader of the world biscuits market should its anticipated acquisition of Danone’s interests in this area take place. This deal, which was first mooted in 2007, would add major brands such as Tuc and LU to the Kraft stable.
Although Danone (which currently occupies tenth slot in the ranking with food sales worth almost US$20 billion) appears set to exit from the biscuits category, it looks to be on the verge of acquiring the Dutch firm Novartis, in a deal worth over €12 billion. Should this go ahead as expected, Danone would assume leadership of the global baby foods market, including brands such as Milupa, Cow & Gate and Nutricia. Prior to its interest in Novartis, Danone’s interests in the baby foods sector were chiefly confined to France and the Benelux countries.
Brewers go for stronger mix The growing consolidation within the global brewing industry is evidenced by the rise of many brewers up the rankings. Within the last year, the turnover of 11th-placed InBev rose by more than eight per cent, compared with a 6.2 per cent increase for Heineken, which is now in 13th position. One statistic worthy of note is the fact that six out of the ten companies ranked between 11 and 20 in the list compete within the alcoholic beverages market. This consolidation process appears set to continue, given the recent successful bid for Scottish & Newcastle by Heineken and Carlsberg. This deal, worth around £7.8 billion, was accepted in the early part of 2008, as a result of which Scottish & Newcastle is to be divided between its two former rivals. Carlsberg appears set to assume full control of the Baltic Beverages Holding (BBH) joint venture it had previously operated in partnership with Scottish & Newcastle. BBH and its Baltika brand occupy a leading position in the growing Russian beer market. Elsewhere in the global brewing industry, SABMiller (which occupies 12th place in the ranking) has now acquired ownership of the Dutch company Grolsch. Further down the ranking, some of the major movers include Wrigley, Pilgrim’s Pride and LVMH. Within the last year, Wrigley’s turnover increased by around 15 per cent to over US$5.38 billion, as a result of which it has advanced to 54th place on the list. Elsewhere, the US-based chicken producer Pilgrim’s Pride saw its revenue increase by more than 45 per cent to US$7.59 billion, and it has now entered the top 40. Much of this was due to the firm’s acquisition of Gold Kist, which was completed at the end of 2006.
New faces Within the last couple of years, a number of companies have now entered the top 100. One noteworthy example is the Austrianbased energy drinks supplier Red Bull, global volume sales of which are now in excess of three billion cans per annum. The company hopes to double this figure to six billion cans by 2010. In 2006, its revenues were worth in the region of US$3.31 billion, and the company now lies in 84th position. Other recent entrants have included Ebro Puleva, which now represents one of Spain’s leading food and drinks suppliers and occupies a leading position in sectors such as rice and pasta.
Fall in the ranks A few dairy companies (namely Nordmilch, Dairy Crest and Fromageries Bel) have dropped out of the ranking as other firms have overtaken them, although it should be noted that further consolidation is forecast for the global dairy industry in the face of increasing pressure and shrinking margins. As evidence of this, two Dutch multinationals - Royal Friesland and Campina - entered into merger talks at the end of 2007. Should this go ahead, it would create a new entity with an annual turnover of around € 8.3 billion, made up of 17,000 member farmers. Within the next year, Cadbury also appears set to fall down the ranking. The company is seeking to divest its beverages operations at present, an area of the business which achieved sales worth around £2.87 billion in 2007. Also likely to be affected is the Italian firm Barilla (which currently occupies 59th position), which has recently announced the impending sale of the Kamps bakery business it acquired in 2002. •
Jonathan Thomas is principal market analyst at Leatherhead Food International (www.leatherheadfood.com ). The GFM database is among LFI’s services and focuses on market sector reports. Continually updated, the GFM database also provides company information such as the annual top 100 ranking. Further details can be found at www.globalfoodmarkets.com

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